![]() Remember, MLB consensus picks are not to be confused with our daily expert picks, the latter of which are exclusive to SAO Premium members. Think of yourself as a Wall Street trader, trying to “buy low” for the best possible payout and ROI. If you like the opposite side, then you’re likely better off exercising patience and waiting for a better odds later in the afternoon. ![]() If you like the same side, it’s probably better to lock in your bet as early as possible, before oddsmakers move the line. Of course the sample size of bets is smaller earlier in the day than later, but if you see 90% of bettors are on one team at 10 am, chances are the public will continue to side with that team. This data, made available every morning during the MLB season, shows you how the public is likely to bet throughout the day. If you aren’t the type to strictly fade the public, you can still use our MLB consensus picks to help in your betting endeavors. But because so many bettors prefer to bet on heavy favorites, there’s often value on the underdogs. It’s even more difficult in good matchups, and a steep price doesn’t always scare the public away. It’s not easy to muster up enough courage to fade ace pitchers like Max Scherzer, Clayton Kershaw, and Gerrit Cole. ![]() It’s no surprise that many sports bettors lean heavily toward betting on favorites, especially in baseball where the moneyline is the most popular way to bet on a game. How To Use Public Betting PercentagesĪ popular MLB betting strategy is to fade the public. For example, if the Yankees open as -180 moneyline favorites in the morning and receive 80% of bets throughout the day, the moneyline will likely move closer to -200 (or beyond) by the first pitch. Line movement at sportsbooks often correlates with consensus picks. How Oddsmakers React To MLB Consensus Picks If 70% of bets are on Over 7.5 runs, then 70% of the public is betting on the Over. If it says 85% on the New York Yankees ML, then 85% of moneyline bets are on the Yankees. Both terms refer to how recreational bettors are wagering on a specific game. MLB consensus picks are synonymous with public betting. You can then use this information to devise betting strategies and angles while shopping MLB lines at online sportsbooks, starting on Opening Day and through the final game of the World Series. This page will show you aggregated public betting percentages for each game’s moneyline, run line and spread, and Over/Under. You can use our MLB consensus picks to simplify your process. In contrast, if that game has thousands and thousands of bets, you can trust that data more.Betting on baseball throughout the MLB season is a grind. If there are just a few hundred bets, the resulting bet and money percentages might be skewed by the small sample size. Of course, it's also important to look at the total number of bets placed on the market, which we also display on this page for The Action Network users. ![]() That would be a percentage difference of 23% on the Bucs, highlighting that the bettors willing to wager a lot of money - these are likely to be sharp and pro bettors - are on Tampa Bay. Here's another example: Say the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are getting 69% of the spread bets against the Dallas Cowboys, but 92% of the money bet on that game's spread is on the Bucs. Therefore, looking at the difference between the percentage of bets and percentage of money can help The Action Network users find the NFL sides that have "sharp money" - in other words, those wagered on by pros. The sharp and professional bettors are the ones that tend to bet more, but those bets still count as just a single bet. Some bettors will place a wager of $5 while others might bet $5,000. This is important information because not every bet is the same. For example, if we track a total handle - a betting term that means "amount wagered" - of $6 million and $5 million is on the Steelers, that would be 83% of the money on the Steelers.
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